Tesla timeline
TSLA · as of
Marker shading: % price change over the selected window, one fixed scale for every event kind, capped at ±10%. Gray = no data. Direction is always also shown as a glyph or signed figure.
Median move in TSLA after each kind of event, next to a typical trading day. Medians are computed from the events below; juxtaposition is not causation.
+1 trading day
- Verified tweets2.4% (n=7)
- Milestones2.8% (n=2)Too few events for a stable median — shown for completeness, read with care.
- Claimsn/a (n=0)Too few events for a stable median — shown for completeness, read with care.
- All trading days (baseline)1.9% (n=2513)
+5 trading days
- Verified tweets8.4% (n=7)
- Milestones4.9% (n=2)Too few events for a stable median — shown for completeness, read with care.
- Claimsn/a (n=0)Too few events for a stable median — shown for completeness, read with care.
- All trading days (baseline)4.6% (n=2509)
+21 trading days
- Verified tweets23.7% (n=7)
- Milestones5.1% (n=2)Too few events for a stable median — shown for completeness, read with care.
- Claimsn/a (n=0)Too few events for a stable median — shown for completeness, read with care.
- All trading days (baseline)10.2% (n=2493)
Do Elon Musk's tweets and predictions coincide with bigger TSLA moves than Tesla's actual milestones?
This timeline lays Elon Musk's Tesla-related public statements and Tesla's recorded milestones alongside the TSLA daily closing price. Markers link to their primary sources; the table below the chart lists every rendered event.
Every event on this page gets the same treatment: the closing price on or before the event date is compared with the close 1, 5, and 21 trading days later. Marker shading encodes that change on one fixed scale — deeper green for larger rises, deeper red for larger falls, capped at ±10%, gray where no data exists — and the direction is always also shown as a ▲/▼ glyph or signed figure, never by color alone. Volume bars show daily shares traded, colored by whether that day closed above or below the prior close; public end-of-day data has no split by trade direction. The comparison above sets every group against the median move across all trading days. Placing an event next to a price move does not mean the event caused the move. Unverified tweet markers come from public archive datasets and render only as dated links; quoted tweets have been individually checked against their source.
TSLADaily closing price for TSLA as reported by Nasdaq historical data (roughly the last ten years); the series is reviewed as a dataset with recorded spot checks, and renders only after that review. Events before the series start show no price context. Retroactive source restatements (e.g. split adjustments) void the review until redone.https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/tsla/historical
| Date | Kind | Item | Source | +1 trading day | +5 trading days | +21 trading days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
milestone | Q1 2026 financial results releasedIndependently verified | source | −3.6% | −3.8% | +7.8% | |
milestone | Unsupervised Robotaxi rides launched in Dallas and HoustonCompany-claimed | source | −2.0% | −6.1% | +2.3% | |
verified-tweet | Cybertruck deliveries start on Thursday | sourcearchive | −1.0% | −3.2% | +2.6% | |
verified-tweet | @comma_ai Tesla Full Self-Driving will work at a safety level well above that of the average driver this year, of that I am confident. Can’t speak for regulators though. | sourcearchive | +3.4% | +24.7% | +23.7% | |
verified-tweet | Important note about Tesla Battery Day unveil tomorrow. This affects long-term production, especially Semi, Cybertruck & Roadster, but what we announce will not reach serious high-volume production until 2022. | sourcearchive | −5.6% | −6.3% | −6.1% | |
verified-tweet | Tesla stock price is too high imo | sourcearchive | +8.5% | +16.8% | +25.7% | |
verified-tweet | Cybertruck is our last product unveil for a while, but there will be some (mostly) unexpected technology announcements next year | sourcearchive | +1.0% | +0.5% | +27.7% | |
verified-tweet | @lexfridman @Tesla This is why it’s possible for Tesla to have a million robotaxis by end of 2020 if we upgrade existing HW2 fleet of ~500k & make at least ~500k FSD cars | sourcearchive | −0.1% | +10.1% | +0.2% | |
verified-tweet | Am considering taking Tesla private at $420. Funding secured. | sourcearchive | −2.4% | −8.4% | −26.0% |
| Month | Tweets | Check on X |
|---|---|---|
| 2011-12 | 3 | search |
| 2012-01 | 9 | search |
| 2012-02 | 7 | search |
| 2012-03 | 2 | search |
| 2012-04 | 1 | search |
| 2012-05 | 3 | search |
| 2012-06 | 2 | search |
| 2012-07 | 5 | search |
| 2012-08 | 4 | search |
| 2012-09 | 6 | search |
| 2012-10 | 7 | search |
| 2012-11 | 3 | search |
| 2012-12 | 6 | search |
| 2013-01 | 2 | search |
| 2013-02 | 8 | search |
| 2013-03 | 14 | search |
| 2013-04 | 20 | search |
| 2013-05 | 32 | search |
| 2013-06 | 11 | search |
| 2013-07 | 4 | search |
| 2013-08 | 1 | search |
| 2013-09 | 3 | search |
| 2013-10 | 2 | search |
| 2013-11 | 9 | search |
| 2013-12 | 2 | search |
| 2014-01 | 5 | search |
| 2014-02 | 4 | search |
| 2014-03 | 5 | search |
| 2014-04 | 10 | search |
| 2014-05 | 2 | search |
| 2014-06 | 3 | search |
| 2014-07 | 3 | search |
| 2014-08 | 8 | search |
| 2014-09 | 3 | search |
| 2014-10 | 5 | search |
| 2014-11 | 5 | search |
| 2014-12 | 8 | search |
| 2015-01 | 2 | search |
| 2015-02 | 1 | search |
| 2015-03 | 10 | search |
| 2015-04 | 4 | search |
| 2015-05 | 4 | search |
| 2015-06 | 3 | search |
| 2015-07 | 2 | search |
| 2015-08 | 1 | search |
| 2015-09 | 4 | search |
| 2015-10 | 18 | search |
| 2015-11 | 2 | search |
| 2015-12 | 1 | search |
| 2016-01 | 2 | search |
| 2016-02 | 8 | search |
| 2016-03 | 12 | search |
| 2016-04 | 36 | search |
| 2016-05 | 7 | search |
| 2016-06 | 13 | search |
| 2016-07 | 46 | search |
| 2016-08 | 5 | search |
| 2016-09 | 15 | search |
| 2016-10 | 21 | search |
| 2016-11 | 12 | search |
| 2016-12 | 14 | search |
| 2017-01 | 18 | search |
| 2017-02 | 17 | search |
| 2017-03 | 24 | search |
| 2017-04 | 6 | search |
| 2017-05 | 12 | search |
| 2017-06 | 20 | search |
| 2017-07 | 26 | search |
| 2017-08 | 11 | search |
| 2017-09 | 4 | search |
| 2017-10 | 20 | search |
| 2017-11 | 8 | search |
| 2017-12 | 8 | search |
| 2018-01 | 7 | search |
| 2018-02 | 3 | search |
| 2018-03 | 11 | search |
| 2018-04 | 28 | search |
| 2018-05 | 89 | search |
| 2018-06 | 65 | search |
| 2018-07 | 35 | search |
| 2018-08 | 39 | search |
| 2018-09 | 32 | search |
| 2018-10 | 64 | search |
| 2018-11 | 42 | search |
| 2018-12 | 53 | search |
| 2019-01 | 39 | search |
| 2019-02 | 21 | search |
| 2019-03 | 81 | search |
| 2019-04 | 108 | search |
| 2019-05 | 47 | search |
| 2019-06 | 34 | search |
| 2019-07 | 69 | search |
| 2019-08 | 32 | search |
| 2019-09 | 60 | search |
| 2019-10 | 59 | search |
| 2019-11 | 43 | search |
| 2019-12 | 44 | search |
| 2020-01 | 20 | search |
| 2020-02 | 24 | search |
| 2020-03 | 29 | search |
| 2020-04 | 50 | search |
| 2020-05 | 35 | search |
| 2020-06 | 49 | search |
| 2020-07 | 48 | search |
| 2020-08 | 34 | search |
| 2020-09 | 31 | search |
| 2020-10 | 38 | search |
| 2020-11 | 28 | search |
| 2020-12 | 21 | search |
| 2021-01 | 21 | search |
| 2021-02 | 13 | search |
| 2021-03 | 24 | search |
| 2021-04 | 48 | search |
| 2021-05 | 27 | search |
| 2021-06 | 35 | search |
| 2021-07 | 60 | search |
| 2021-08 | 15 | search |
| 2021-09 | 41 | search |
| 2021-10 | 52 | search |
| 2021-11 | 38 | search |
| 2021-12 | 23 | search |
| 2022-01 | 29 | search |
| 2022-02 | 24 | search |
| 2022-03 | 32 | search |
| 2022-04 | 31 | search |
| 2022-05 | 37 | search |
| 2022-06 | 25 | search |
| 2022-07 | 21 | search |
| 2022-08 | 20 | search |
| 2022-09 | 30 | search |
| 2022-10 | 20 | search |
| 2022-11 | 19 | search |
| 2022-12 | 18 | search |
| 2023-01 | 22 | search |
| 2023-02 | 28 | search |
| 2023-03 | 16 | search |
| 2023-04 | 18 | search |
| 2023-05 | 34 | search |
| 2023-06 | 18 | search |
| 2023-07 | 20 | search |
| 2023-08 | 34 | search |
| 2023-09 | 21 | search |
| 2023-10 | 14 | search |
| 2023-11 | 27 | search |
| 2023-12 | 29 | search |
| 2024-01 | 32 | search |
| 2024-02 | 29 | search |
| 2024-03 | 29 | search |
| 2024-04 | 47 | search |
| 2024-05 | 48 | search |
| 2024-06 | 38 | search |
| 2024-07 | 55 | search |
| 2024-08 | 23 | search |
| 2024-09 | 30 | search |
| 2024-10 | 35 | search |
| 2024-11 | 27 | search |
| 2024-12 | 28 | search |
| 2025-01 | 23 | search |
| 2025-02 | 9 | search |
| 2025-03 | 50 | search |
| 2025-04 | 6 | search |
| 2025-05 | 1 | search |
| 2025-06 | 4 | search |
| 2025-07 | 1 | search |
| 2025-08 | 2 | search |
| 2025-09 | 3 | search |
| 2025-10 | 1 | search |
| 2025-11 | 1 | search |
| 2025-12 | 2 | search |
| 2026-01 | 2 | search |
| 2026-02 | 1 | search |
| 2026-03 | 2 | search |
| 2026-04 | 2 | search |
| 2026-07 | 1 | search |